Forex News
- GBP/JPY tests 100-day SMA as Yen momentum improves.
- RSI near 42 signals sellers retain near-term control.
- Break below 212.79 exposes 211.26 and 210.45 supports.
The GBP/JPY retreats during the North American session on Thursday, down 0.21% as the Pound Sterling depreciates, despite the Bank of England (BoE) holding rates unchanged. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 213.11 after peaking near 214.06.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook
From a price action perspective, the GBP/JPY is neutral-biased, though over the last couple of trading days, the Yen has shown signs of life, driving the cross-pair to test key support at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 212.79.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that momentum favors further downside, with the index aiming lower, at 41.68. Hence, the GBP/JPY might continue to edge lower.
If GBP/JPY clears decisively the 199-day SMA, the next support would be the May 18 daily low of 211.26. Below sits the April 30 swing low of 210.45, before the cross aims toward the 200-day SMA at 209.32.
On the other hand, GBP/JPY must clear the 50-day SMA at 214.25 to allow buyers to challenge the 215.00 milestone. Up next, the area of interest is the 216.00 mark.
GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily
Japanese Yen Price This week
The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the British Pound.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 1.01% | 1.58% | 0.74% | 1.03% | 0.40% | 1.26% | 1.02% | |
| EUR | -1.01% | 0.53% | -0.24% | 0.00% | -0.63% | 0.25% | 0.00% | |
| GBP | -1.58% | -0.53% | -0.96% | -0.51% | -1.16% | -0.27% | -0.52% | |
| JPY | -0.74% | 0.24% | 0.96% | 0.27% | -0.35% | 0.55% | 0.26% | |
| CAD | -1.03% | -0.01% | 0.51% | -0.27% | -0.66% | 0.29% | -0.01% | |
| AUD | -0.40% | 0.63% | 1.16% | 0.35% | 0.66% | 0.89% | 0.64% | |
| NZD | -1.26% | -0.25% | 0.27% | -0.55% | -0.29% | -0.89% | -0.25% | |
| CHF | -1.02% | -0.00% | 0.52% | -0.26% | 0.00% | -0.64% | 0.25% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).
Here is what you need to know on Friday, June 19:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) firmed near 100.80 on Thursday, a level it hadn’t seen since May 2025, after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range in Kevin Warsh’s first policy meeting as Fed Chair on Wednesday. The Fed removed its previous reference to “additional rate adjustments,” reinforcing a more cautious and data-dependent stance.
Initial Jobless Claims fell by 4,000 to 226,000 in the week ending June 13, close to market expectations of 225,000 and suggesting that layoffs remain limited. Continuing Jobless Claims rose to 1.81 million, pointing to some softness among workers already receiving unemployment benefits.
US Dollar Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.34% | 0.65% | 0.42% | 0.22% | -0.07% | 0.20% | 0.56% | |
| EUR | -0.34% | 0.32% | 0.09% | -0.13% | -0.42% | -0.19% | 0.22% | |
| GBP | -0.65% | -0.32% | -0.23% | -0.44% | -0.72% | -0.48% | -0.11% | |
| JPY | -0.42% | -0.09% | 0.23% | -0.19% | -0.51% | -0.27% | 0.11% | |
| CAD | -0.22% | 0.13% | 0.44% | 0.19% | -0.31% | -0.07% | 0.32% | |
| AUD | 0.07% | 0.42% | 0.72% | 0.51% | 0.31% | 0.24% | 0.63% | |
| NZD | -0.20% | 0.19% | 0.48% | 0.27% | 0.07% | -0.24% | 0.40% | |
| CHF | -0.56% | -0.22% | 0.11% | -0.11% | -0.32% | -0.63% | -0.40% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
EUR/USD remained under pressure near 1.1460 amid broad US Dollar (USD) strength. The Euro also remained cautious after European Central Bank (ECB) officials continued to warn about uncertainty surrounding energy prices, inflation transmission, and potential second-round effects on wages.
GBP/USD traded near a two-month low close to the 1.3210 level after the Bank of England (BoE) left interest rates unchanged at 3.75%. The BoE voted 7-2 to keep the Bank Rate steady, with most policymakers favoring patience amid uncertainty over the inflation outlook and recent volatility in energy prices. However, two members backed raising the rate to 4.00%, showing that inflation concerns remain.
USD/JPY traded with a firmer tone in intervention territory of 161.40, a level it hasn’t been at since July 2024. The pair benefited from renewed demand for the Greenback as Warsh signaled that policymakers still need greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward the 2% target.
AUD/USD trades muted near 0.7020 as the Australian Dollar (AUD) struggles to extend gains, while the US Dollar remains supported by US labor market data.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil remained little changed near $75.70 per barrel following the US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Gold struggled to gain traction near $4,220 as the Greenback remained supported by the Fed’s cautious policy message. Lower Oil prices and improved risk sentiment limited safe-haven demand, while firm US yields also weighed on the non-yielding metal.
What’s next in the docket:
Friday, June 19:
- Germany PPI (May)
- UK Retail Sales (May)
- Canada Retail Sales (Apr)
WTI Oil FAQs
WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.
Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.
The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.
OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.
- USD/CHF clears the previous YTD high, confirming bullish continuation structure.
- RSI breaks latest peak, signaling buyers are gaining momentum.
- Break above 0.8100 exposes 0.8124 and 0.8171 resistance.
The USD/CHF pair rallies on Thursday to a new yearly high of 0.8059, surpassing March’s 31 previous peak of 2026 at 0.8042 as the Greenback stages a recovery amid hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations, which drove the pair to reach the ‘inverted head-and-shoulders’ price target.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Price action shows the pair is upwardly biased after clearing its previous yearly peak. USD/CHF buyers are shifting towards challenging the 0.8100 milestone, ahead of the November 2025 peak of 0.8124.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) cleared its latest peak, signaling that buyers are gaining momentum.
Therefore, if USD/CHF clears 0.8100, the 0.8124 high is up next. Once breached, the next area of interest would be the August 2025 high at 0.8171, before buyers test the 0.8200 figure.
On the downside, the USD/CHF first support would be June’s 17 high, turned support at 0.8015. Once cleared, 0.8000 is up next, followed by the 200-day SMA at 0.7906.
USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily
Swiss Franc Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies today. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the British Pound.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.36% | 0.65% | 0.40% | 0.21% | -0.04% | 0.27% | 0.65% | |
| EUR | -0.36% | 0.30% | 0.07% | -0.15% | -0.41% | -0.14% | 0.29% | |
| GBP | -0.65% | -0.30% | -0.26% | -0.45% | -0.69% | -0.43% | -0.03% | |
| JPY | -0.40% | -0.07% | 0.26% | -0.19% | -0.47% | -0.20% | 0.21% | |
| CAD | -0.21% | 0.15% | 0.45% | 0.19% | -0.28% | -0.00% | 0.42% | |
| AUD | 0.04% | 0.41% | 0.69% | 0.47% | 0.28% | 0.27% | 0.71% | |
| NZD | -0.27% | 0.14% | 0.43% | 0.20% | 0.00% | -0.27% | 0.43% | |
| CHF | -0.65% | -0.29% | 0.03% | -0.21% | -0.42% | -0.71% | -0.43% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).
(This story was corrected on June 18 at 20:21 GMT to say USD/CHF instead of USD/JPY in the technical analysis section.)
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