{"id":349,"date":"2023-05-31T15:30:47","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T15:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"\/?page_id=349"},"modified":"2024-11-20T14:02:20","modified_gmt":"2024-11-20T06:02:20","slug":"forex-news","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.sec.rakuten.com.hk\/en\/insight\/forex-news","title":{"rendered":"Forex News"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"349\" class=\"elementor elementor-349\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-79d86a79 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con\" data-id=\"79d86a79\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;jet_parallax_layout_list&quot;:[],&quot;content_width&quot;:&quot;boxed&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-33846201 page-banner__breadcrumbs elementor-widget elementor-widget-jet-breadcrumbs\" data-id=\"33846201\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"jet-breadcrumbs.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-jet-breadcrumbs jet-blocks\">\n\t\t<div class=\"jet-breadcrumbs\">\n\t\t<div class=\"jet-breadcrumbs__content\">\n\t\t<div class=\"jet-breadcrumbs__wrap\"><div class=\"jet-breadcrumbs__item\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.rakuten.com.hk\/en\" class=\"jet-breadcrumbs__item-link is-home\" rel=\"home\" title=\"HOME\">HOME<\/a><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-76ca3d1e page-banner__title elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"76ca3d1e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.14.0 - 26-06-2023 *\/\n.elementor-heading-title{padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title[class*=elementor-size-]>a{color:inherit;font-size:inherit;line-height:inherit}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-small{font-size:15px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-medium{font-size:19px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-large{font-size:29px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-xl{font-size:39px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-xxl{font-size:59px}<\/style><h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Forex News<\/h1>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-36ddf7ac e-flex e-con-boxed e-con\" data-id=\"36ddf7ac\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;jet_parallax_layout_list&quot;:[],&quot;content_width&quot;:&quot;boxed&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-aca915 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"aca915\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">News source: FXStreet<\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-71bc2f67 elementor-widget elementor-widget-shortcode\" data-id=\"71bc2f67\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"shortcode.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-shortcode\">\n\n\n<style>\n  .latest-news__item {\n    position: relative;\n    padding-bottom: 32px;\n    margin-bottom: 40px;\n    border-bottom: 1px solid #D6D6D6;\n  }\n\n  .latest-news__summary {\n    display: flex;\n    gap: 40px;\n  }\n\n  .latest-news__thumb {\n    width: 270px;\n  }\n\n  .latest-news__thumb img,\n  .latest-news__date-icon 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.latest-news__title {\n      display: -webkit-box;\n      -webkit-box-orient: vertical;\n      -webkit-line-clamp: 2;\n      overflow: hidden;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__accordion-btn {\n      position: absolute;\n      top: calc(100% + 20px);\n\t  left: 50%;\n\t  transform: translateX(-50%);\n      font-size: 16px;\n      letter-spacing: 0.8px;\n\t  margin-top: 0;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__accordion-btn.is-active {\n      margin-top: 0;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__accordion-btn::after {\n      width: 16px;\n      height: 16px;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__item {\n      padding-bottom: 52px;\n      margin-bottom: 24px;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__content {\n      font-size: 18px;\n\t  max-height: 400px;\n\t  margin-top: 56px;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__content ul li {\n      padding-left: 22px;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__content ul li::before {\n      width: 10px;\n      height: 10px;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__content .fxs-content-module-header {\n      font-size: 18px;\n      padding-right: 72px;\n    }\n\n    .latest-news__content .fxs-content-module-content {\n      padding-right: 0\n    }\n  }\n<\/style>\n\n<section class=\"latest-news\">\n  <div class=\"latest-news__list\">\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/Iran_Large.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 07:25 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">Iran threatens to retaliate after US broke ceasefire with overnight strikes<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<p>The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) threatened to retaliate after the United States (US) carried out strikes on southern Iran in \u201cself-defence,\u201d CNN reported on Tuesday.&nbsp; The IRGC also claimed that 25 vessels, including oil tankers, transited Hormuz during the \u201clast day and night.\u201d<\/p><p>Iran\u2019s Foreign Ministry condemned the US attacks as a violation of a ceasefire that\u2019s been in place since early April. Meanwhile, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said that \u201cnations and lands of the region will no longer be a shield for American bases.\"<\/p><p>The US and Iran are working toward a memorandum of understanding, but disputes over language concerning Iran\u2019s nuclear program and sanctions have held up a deal.<\/p><p>One contentious issue under negotiation is Iran\u2019s $24 billion in frozen assets, with Tehran wanting half that amount released upon the signing of an agreement, the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Market reaction&nbsp;<\/h2><p>Crude oil prices attract some buyers following this headline. At the time of writing, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up 2.92% on the day at $92.15.<\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"wti\" data-config-category=\"Commodities\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n    <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-wrapper\">\n        <h2 class=\"fxs-faq-module-title\">WTI Oil FAQs<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-container\">\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion0\" checked=\"checked\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion0\">\n                            <span>What is WTI Oil?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as \u201clight\u201d and \u201csweet\u201d because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered \u201cThe Pipeline Crossroads of the World\u201d. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion1\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion1\">\n                            <span>What factors drive the price of WTI Oil?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion2\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion2\">\n                            <span>How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API\u2019s report is published every Tuesday and EIA\u2019s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion3\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-wti-342accordion3\">\n                            <span>How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/AnnaBreman_RBNZ_1_Large.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 05:15 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">RBNZ expected to hold rate steady as markets look for signs of hikes down the line<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-event-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-event-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-event-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:12px}.fxs-event-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-event-module-header{color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px;margin:0;padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;padding-right:32px}.fxs-event-module-header label{cursor:pointer;display:block}.fxs-event-module-header label:after,.fxs-event-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container 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.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:12.8px;line-height:17px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{display:flex;align-items:center;align-content:center;gap:4px;color:#e4871b;font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:17px;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-read-more svg{width:16px;height:16px}.fxs-event-module-read-more:hover span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-release{margin:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}.fxs-event-module-release>p{font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;line-height:17px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-release>p>strong{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:700}.fxs-event-module-release>p>span{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:400}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a{color:#e4871b;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a:hover>span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-container{margin:16px 0 0 0;border-top:1px solid #ececf1;padding:12px 0 0 0}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-release p{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{font-size:22.4px;line-height:25.6px}.fxs-event-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-event-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}\n.fxs-related-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-related-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{text-decoration:none;color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover,.fxs-related-module-related-link:hover a{color:#e4871b}.fxs-related-module-related-link a:hover{text-decoration:none}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-related-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-related-module-related-link a{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to maintain the key interest rate at 2.25% for a third straight meeting on Wednesday.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>All eyes are on the RBNZ\u2019s Monetary Policy Statement and Governor Breman\u2019s presser for fresh interest rate cues.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>The New Zealand Dollar could experience intense volatility following the RBNZ policy announcements.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the third consecutive meeting, as the impact of the Iran war continues to hit the economic growth and fuel inflation pressures.<\/p><p>The RBNZ interest rate decision will be announced at 02:00 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Review (MPR), the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) and the Minutes of the meeting. RBNZ Governor Dr. Anna Breman\u2019s post-monetary policy meeting press conference will follow at 03:00 GMT.<\/p><p>The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), which has been broadly consolidating against the US Dollar (USD) since mid- April, could see a big reaction to the RBNZ event risks.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\"><strong>What to expect from the RBNZ interest rate decision?<\/strong><\/h2><p>Barring any surprises on the rate decision, the RBNZ updated OCR and inflation forecasts, along with Governor Breman\u2019s remarks, will be closely scrutinized to reaffirm the market expectations of at least two interest rate hikes this year in the face of the US-Iran war impact on energy prices and inflation.<\/p><p>\u201cOur current forecast is for 50 basis points (bps) of tightening in 2026, though this is highly dependent on energy market dynamics. Swap market pricing is 21 bps for July and 75 bps by year-end,\u201d ING\u2019s FX strategists said.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p><p>However, amid inflation expectations returning to the RBNZ target range of 2%-3% and a negative economic output gap, it remains to be seen if the RBNZ pushes back against any near-term rate hike or surprises with a lift-off in a pre-emptive measure against high inflationary prospects.<\/p><p>Back in April, Breman noted: \u201cWe discussed raising rates at today's meeting, adding that the Committee is \u201cnot yet seeing rising prices becoming embedded in inflation expectations.\u201d<\/p><p>However, she kept the door ajar for rate hikes by saying that \u201ctightening could be at every meeting or every other meeting, it depends.\u201d<\/p><p>The OCR projections will be key to watch if the central bank doesn\u2019t deliver an unexpected rate hike. In February\u2019s MPS, the Kiwi central bank said that it sees the OCR at 2.26% in June 2026, while projecting 2.4% by the end of the year.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\"><strong>How will the RBNZ interest rate decision impact the New Zealand Dollar?<\/strong><\/h2><p>Any downward revision to the OCR forecast, citing weak economic prospects, could be read as dovish, reinforcing the selling pressure around the NZD and driving the NZD\/USD pair back toward the 0.5800 level.<\/p><p>The Kiwi Dollar could also come under intense selling pressure if Governor Breman fails to provide any guidance on the tightening path.<\/p><p>However, in case the RBNZ surprises with a rate hike, it would be a clear bullish case for the NZD. That could initiate a fresh trend reversal in the NZD\/USD pair toward the 0.6000 psychological barrier.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p><p>If the central bank decides to stand pat, as expected, but revises up the OCR projection for this year, it could be perceived as a hawkish hold, also serving positive for the Kiwi.<\/p><p>Dhwani Mehta, Asian Session Lead Analyst at FXStreet, offers a brief technical outlook for NZD\/USD and explains:<\/p><p>\u201cThe Kiwi pair now sits below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.5853 and the 100-day SMA at 0.5890, while the 21-day SMA near 0.5894 also leans overhead, suggesting rallies are likely to face a supply area. The Relative Strength Index holds just below the 50 midpoint around 46, hinting that downside pressure still dominates, though without oversold conditions.\u201d<\/p><p>\u201cOn the topside, immediate resistance emerges at a confluence of healthy resistances near 0.5890, where the 21-day SMA and the 100-day SMA converge. A clear break of that supply zone will negate the near-term bearish bias and initiate an uptrend toward the 0.5950 psychological level on its way toward the 0.6000 round level. On the downside, initial support is provided by the 200-day SMA at 0.5837. A sustained move beneath this longer-term average would reinforce the downtrend and expose lower levels toward the 0.5800 figure in the coming sessions,\u201d Dhwani adds.<\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-event-483091cd-28d1-4a74-9af3-231d82874e1d-72\" data-type=\"event\" data-module=\"event\" data-config-topic=\"483091cd-28d1-4a74-9af3-231d82874e1d\" data-config-event-id=\"fb3ee9cc-2b91-46fc-9a93-f0bcb3c97f6d\" data-config-mode=\"Upcoming\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\" class=\"fxs-event-module-wrapper\">\n    <h2 class=\"fxs-event-module-title\">Economic Indicator<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"fxs-event-module-inner-calendar\">\n        <div class=\"fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper\">\n            <h3 class=\"fxs-event-module-calendar-title\">RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement<\/h3>\n            <p class=\"fxs-event-module-content\">The New Zealand Reserve Bank publishes its Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) quarterly. Each Monetary Policy Statement must set out: how the Reserve Bank proposes to achieve its targets; how it proposes to formulate and implement monetary policy during the next five years; and how monetary policy has been implemented since the last Monetary Policy Statement.<\/p>\n            \n                <svg width=\"1.3rem\" height=\"1.3rem\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" class=\"fxs_icon fa-chart-bar fa-w-16\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 512 512\">\n                    <path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\">\n                    <\/path>\n                <\/svg>\n                <span>Read more.<\/span>\n            \n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"fxs-event-module-release\">\n            <p>\n                <strong>Next release:<\/strong>\n                <span>Wed May 27, 2026 02:00 <\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Frequency:<\/strong>\n                <span>Irregular<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Consensus:<\/strong>\n                <span>-<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Previous:<\/strong>\n                <span>-<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Source:<\/strong>\n                \n                    <span>Reserve Bank of New Zealand<\/span>\n                    <svg width=\"13\" height=\"13\" viewbox=\"0 0 13 13\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\">\n                        <path d=\"M12.1484 0.5C12.3359 0.5 12.5 0.664062 12.5 0.851562L12.4766 4.67188C12.4766 4.85938 12.3359 5 12.1484 5H11.375V5.02344C11.1875 5.02344 11.0234 4.85938 11.0234 4.67188L11.0938 2.9375L11.0469 2.89062L4.50781 9.42969C4.46094 9.47656 4.39062 9.52344 4.32031 9.52344C4.22656 9.52344 4.15625 9.47656 4.10938 9.42969L3.57031 8.89062C3.52344 8.84375 3.47656 8.77344 3.47656 8.67969C3.47656 8.60938 3.52344 8.53906 3.57031 8.49219L10.1094 1.95312L10.0625 1.90625L8.32812 1.97656C8.14062 1.97656 8 1.8125 8 1.625V0.851562C8 0.664062 8.14062 0.523438 8.32812 0.523438L12.1484 0.5ZM10.625 7.25C10.8125 7.25 11 7.4375 11 7.625V11.375C11 12.0078 10.4844 12.5 9.875 12.5H1.625C0.992188 12.5 0.5 12.0078 0.5 11.375V3.125C0.5 2.51562 0.992188 2 1.625 2H5.375C5.5625 2 5.75 2.1875 5.75 2.375V2.75C5.75 2.96094 5.5625 3.125 5.375 3.125H1.76562C1.67188 3.125 1.625 3.19531 1.625 3.26562V11.2344C1.625 11.3281 1.67188 11.375 1.76562 11.375H9.73438C9.80469 11.375 9.875 11.3281 9.875 11.2344V7.625C9.875 7.4375 10.0391 7.25 10.25 7.25H10.625Z\" fill=\"#E4871B\"><\/path>\n                    <\/svg>\n                \n            <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-related-c5cab377-4e77-404a-8e73-6d4b45cac822-738\" data-type=\"related\" data-module=\"related\" data-config-topic=\"c5cab377-4e77-404a-8e73-6d4b45cac822\" data-config-post-id-0=\"4be66d16-c8a9-47f1-8c13-347b6e38a062\" data-config-post-id-1=\"d1ab32d4-35cb-4ece-a286-494b5afc7752\" data-config-post-id-2=\"447b2411-b2de-4e78-90cd-f625c4585680\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\" class=\"fxs-related-module-wrapper\">\n    <h2 class=\"fxs-related-module-title\">Related news<\/h2>\n    <ul>\n            <li class=\"fxs-related-module-related-link\" data-ga4event-clk-name=\"related_content_click\">\n                New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ set to wait and hope \u2013 Commerzbank\n            <\/li>\n            <li class=\"fxs-related-module-related-link\" data-ga4event-clk-name=\"related_content_click\">\n                New Zealand Dollar: Rangebound versus US Dollar on RBNZ repricing \u2013 BBH\n            <\/li>\n            <li class=\"fxs-related-module-related-link\" data-ga4event-clk-name=\"related_content_click\">\n                RBNZ Survey: NZ two-year inflation expectations rise to 2.53% QoQ in Q2 2026\n            <\/li>\n    <\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/gold-march-05_Large.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 07:05 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">Gold declines to near $4,500 as renewed US\u2011Iran tensions, Fed tightening bets weigh<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>Gold price edges lower to near $4,500 in Wednesday\u2019s early Asian session.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>Uncertainty over the US-Iran peace deal and the vital Strait of Hormuz weighs on the Gold price.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>Markets currently expect a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in December.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>Gold price (XAU\/USD) loses ground to around $4,500 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal extends the decline as fresh US&nbsp;military strikes on&nbsp;Iran&nbsp;dimmed hopes of a peace deal and reinforced concerns that persistent inflation could keep interest rates higher for longer.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Security in the Strait of Hormuz remained unclear after the US and Iran exchanged strikes on Tuesday, and US Central Command pushed back on reports that suggested the military was helping escort vessels.<\/p><p>The renewed clashes occurred just hours after US President Donald Trump said negotiations with Tehran to extend their ceasefire and reopen the crucial waterway are proceeding. &nbsp;<\/p><p>\u201cWhile hope of a US-Iran deal has offered some support, the situation remains fragile and persistent, as inflation fears continue to loom over precious metals,\u201d said Ryan McKay, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Kevin Warsh&nbsp;was sworn in as&nbsp;US Federal Reserve&nbsp;(Fed) chairman on Friday. He took over the leadership of the&nbsp;US&nbsp;central bank amid growing expectations of tighter global monetary policy. It\u2019s worth noting that Gold is often used amid geopolitical uncertainty but does not yield interest, making it less attractive when interest rates are high.<\/p><p>Traders are now pricing in a 39.0% chance that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) by year-end, according to the CME FedWatch tool.<\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"gold\" data-config-category=\"Commodities\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n    <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-wrapper\">\n        <h2 class=\"fxs-faq-module-title\">Gold FAQs<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-container\">\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion0\" checked=\"checked\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion0\">\n                            <span>Why do people invest in Gold?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Gold has played a key role in human\u2019s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn\u2019t rely on any specific issuer or government.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion1\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion1\">\n                            <span>Who buys the most Gold?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country\u2019s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion2\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion2\">\n                            <span>How is Gold correlated with other assets?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion3\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Commodities-gold-178accordion3\">\n                            <span>What does the price of Gold depend on?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU\/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up. <\/p>\n                <\/section>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/inflation-01_Large.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 03:00 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">Australia CPI set to support RBA hawkish stance despite easing slightly in April<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-event-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-event-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-event-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:12px}.fxs-event-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-event-module-header{color:#1b1c23;font-weight:700;font-size:16px;font-style:normal;line-height:20px;margin:0;padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;padding-right:32px}.fxs-event-module-header label{cursor:pointer;display:block}.fxs-event-module-header label:after,.fxs-event-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-event-module-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out}.fxs-event-module-container input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-event-module-section .fxs-event-module-content.why-matters{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:17.6px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:20.8px;margin:4px 0 0 0}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;padding-bottom:16px;margin-bottom:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar{padding:16px}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-section{padding:0}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:12.8px;line-height:17px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{display:flex;align-items:center;align-content:center;gap:4px;color:#e4871b;font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:17px;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-read-more svg{width:16px;height:16px}.fxs-event-module-read-more:hover span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-release{margin:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}.fxs-event-module-release>p{font-size:12.8px;font-family:Roboto;font-style:normal;line-height:17px;margin:0}.fxs-event-module-release>p>strong{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:700}.fxs-event-module-release>p>span{color:#8c8d91;font-weight:400}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a{color:#e4871b;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none}.fxs-event-module-release>p>a:hover>span{text-decoration:underline}.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-container{margin:16px 0 0 0;border-top:1px solid #ececf1;padding:12px 0 0 0}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-event-module-inner-calendar .fxs-event-module-header{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-release p{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-read-more{font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px}.fxs-event-module-calendar-title{font-size:22.4px;line-height:25.6px}.fxs-event-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-event-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-event-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>Australia\u2019s Consumer Price Index is expected to have eased in April, but to remain near long-term highs.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>Monthly CPI inflation is expected to have eased amid the Australian government\u2019s fuel excise relief.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>April\u2019s CPI figures are likely to keep pressure on the RBA to tighten monetary policy further.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>The highlight in the Australian economic docket this week is the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, which are expected to be released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT. Consumer inflation is forecast to slow down to a 4.4% year-on-year (YoY) rate, down from 4.6% in March, yet still at its highest levels since 2023, and well above the Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s (RBA) 2% to 3% target for price stability.<\/p><p>The Australian government\u2019s decision to halve fuel excise in April might have contributed to taming monthly inflation to 0.6% in April from the previous month\u2019s 1.1% reading. The Trimmed Mean CPI, however, considered more relevant to assess underlying inflationary trends, is expected to have accelerated to 3.4% in the 12 months to April from 3.3% in March and 0.4% monthly from the previous 0.3% rate.<\/p><p>On the whole, these numbers might provide a momentary respite to the RBA, but they do not ease pressure on the central bank to keep tightening borrowing costs. Investors are pricing a pause at the next monetary policy meeting due in mid-June, as the consequences of Iran\u2019s conflict seem to be starting to take a toll on the Australian economy.<\/p><p><br><\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\"><strong>What to expect from Australia\u2019s inflation rate numbers?<\/strong><\/h2><p>April\u2019s CPI figures are expected to confirm that the higher energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict keep boosting consumer prices, although recent reports warn about pass-through effects, with inflationary effects visible on a range of products from food to recreation or building materials.<\/p><p>In this context, the central bank would celebrate some moderation on the CPI growth, especially after the labour data released last week showed that the Unemployment Rate unexpectedly rose to 4.5% in April, its highest level since September..&nbsp;<\/p><p>The RBA, nevertheless, remains focused on inflation as the main target of its monetary policy. The minutes of May\u2019s meeting showed nearly unanimous support for the third consecutive interest rate hike and reflected a hawkishly-leaning stance as the board projects price pressures to remain above target for an extended period.<\/p><p>Analysts from Westpac support that view, as they see Australian inflation peaking at 5% this year, and return to the RBA\u2019s target only in late 2027: \u201cBrent oil is now expected to average $125 per barrel in Q2. Headline inflation is now expected to peak lower at 5.0%yr in Q3 2026, but prove more persistent, ending the year at 4.9%yr and reaching 2.5%yr by end-2027.\u201d<\/p><p>Interest rates, however, are likely to remain steady at June\u2019s meeting, with an August hike on the table. May\u2019s minutes also revealed that most RBA board members consider the current 4.35% Cash Rate target as somewhat restrictive, and that there is now some margin to observe how households and businesses react to the current conditions and to developments in the Middle East. Any sign of inflation moderation, even a mild one, in this case, will support that stance.<\/p><p><br><\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\"><strong>How could the Consumer Price Index report affect AUD\/USD?<\/strong><\/h2><p>With inflation figures well above target, and the US-Iran conflict in a stalemate, any deviation in the Consumer Price Index data might have a significant impact on the Australian Dollar\u2019s volatility. April\u2019s will be the last CPI release before the RBA\u2019s June monetary policy meeting, and, although it is unlikely to alter expectations of a rate pause, it will provide further insight into the banks\u2019 next steps. <\/p><p>If final numbers meet market consensus, the impact on the Aussie is expected to be minor, with all eyes on the US-Iran peace process. A lower-than-expected inflation will practically confirm steady interest rates in June, and might cast doubt on an August rate hike, which is highly likely to add bearish pressure on the Australian Dollar (AUD).<\/p><p>The risk, however, is of a strong CPI reading, especially if the yearly inflation accelerates unexpectedly. This would signal stronger-than-expected second-round inflationary effects and increase pressure on the RBA to keep tightening its monetary policy. This option would have a positive impact on the AUD.<\/p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/miscelaneous\/Screenshot%202026-05-26%20at%2017-1779811125641.57.48.png\" alt=\"AUD\/USD Chart Analysis\" loading=\"lazy\"><p><br><\/p><p>From a technical perspective, the AUD\/USD is showing a somewhat stronger stance this week, according to FXStreet Analyst, Guillermo Alcala, although resistance around 0.7190 remains a significant hurdle for bulls: \u201cThe pair has broken above the triangle pattern observed last week, but bulls seem to be losing momentum after failing to breach resistance at the 0.7190 area.\u201d<\/p><p>On the downside, Alcala sees key support at 0.7080: \u201cDownside attempts are likely to find support at a reverse trendline, now in the area of 0.7145. Further down, a break of May\u2019s 19 low at 0.7080 would signal the negation of the bullish view and expose the April 13 low, near 0.7030.\u201d <\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-event-87ffa547-70d7-487d-8d73-3d89379a4735-153\" data-type=\"event\" data-module=\"event\" data-config-topic=\"87ffa547-70d7-487d-8d73-3d89379a4735\" data-config-event-id=\"efb242df-097c-45b5-8c28-4f3f518f1dfe\" data-config-mode=\"Upcoming\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\" class=\"fxs-event-module-wrapper\">\n    <h2 class=\"fxs-event-module-title\">Economic Indicator<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"fxs-event-module-inner-calendar\">\n        <div class=\"fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper\">\n            <h3 class=\"fxs-event-module-calendar-title\">Consumer Price Index (MoM)<\/h3>\n            <p class=\"fxs-event-module-content\">The Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by theAustralian Bureau of Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the price of a comprehensive basket of goods and services acquired by household consumers. The MoM reading compares prices in the reference month to the previous one. A high reading is seen as bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.<\/p>\n            \n                <svg width=\"1.3rem\" height=\"1.3rem\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" class=\"fxs_icon fa-chart-bar fa-w-16\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 512 512\">\n                    <path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\">\n                    <\/path>\n                <\/svg>\n                <span>Read more.<\/span>\n            \n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"fxs-event-module-release\">\n            <p>\n                <strong>Next release:<\/strong>\n                <span>Wed May 27, 2026 01:30 <\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Frequency:<\/strong>\n                <span>Monthly<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Consensus:<\/strong>\n                <span>0.6%<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Previous:<\/strong>\n                <span>1.1%<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Source:<\/strong>\n                \n                    <span>Australian Bureau of Statistics<\/span>\n                    <svg width=\"13\" height=\"13\" viewbox=\"0 0 13 13\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\">\n                        <path d=\"M12.1484 0.5C12.3359 0.5 12.5 0.664062 12.5 0.851562L12.4766 4.67188C12.4766 4.85938 12.3359 5 12.1484 5H11.375V5.02344C11.1875 5.02344 11.0234 4.85938 11.0234 4.67188L11.0938 2.9375L11.0469 2.89062L4.50781 9.42969C4.46094 9.47656 4.39062 9.52344 4.32031 9.52344C4.22656 9.52344 4.15625 9.47656 4.10938 9.42969L3.57031 8.89062C3.52344 8.84375 3.47656 8.77344 3.47656 8.67969C3.47656 8.60938 3.52344 8.53906 3.57031 8.49219L10.1094 1.95312L10.0625 1.90625L8.32812 1.97656C8.14062 1.97656 8 1.8125 8 1.625V0.851562C8 0.664062 8.14062 0.523438 8.32812 0.523438L12.1484 0.5ZM10.625 7.25C10.8125 7.25 11 7.4375 11 7.625V11.375C11 12.0078 10.4844 12.5 9.875 12.5H1.625C0.992188 12.5 0.5 12.0078 0.5 11.375V3.125C0.5 2.51562 0.992188 2 1.625 2H5.375C5.5625 2 5.75 2.1875 5.75 2.375V2.75C5.75 2.96094 5.5625 3.125 5.375 3.125H1.76562C1.67188 3.125 1.625 3.19531 1.625 3.26562V11.2344C1.625 11.3281 1.67188 11.375 1.76562 11.375H9.73438C9.80469 11.375 9.875 11.3281 9.875 11.2344V7.625C9.875 7.4375 10.0391 7.25 10.25 7.25H10.625Z\" fill=\"#E4871B\"><\/path>\n                    <\/svg>\n                \n            <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-event-e3255dde-aa11-43a9-9454-fbdcc8cd18b0-985\" data-type=\"event\" data-module=\"event\" data-config-topic=\"e3255dde-aa11-43a9-9454-fbdcc8cd18b0\" data-config-event-id=\"1bd22ae8-2ae3-4fe6-867a-9adf5406d5e1\" data-config-mode=\"Upcoming\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\" class=\"fxs-event-module-wrapper\">\n    <h2 class=\"fxs-event-module-title\">Economic Indicator<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"fxs-event-module-inner-calendar\">\n        <div class=\"fxs-event-module-calendar-title-description-wrapper\">\n            <h3 class=\"fxs-event-module-calendar-title\">Consumer Price Index (YoY)<\/h3>\n            <p class=\"fxs-event-module-content\">The Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the price of a comprehensive basket of goods and services acquired by household consumers. The indicator is the primary measure of headline inflation after a new methodology was applied to transition from quarterly to monthly readings, applying to data from April 2024 onwards. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier.  A high reading is seen as bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.<\/p>\n            \n                <svg width=\"1.3rem\" height=\"1.3rem\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" class=\"fxs_icon fa-chart-bar fa-w-16\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 512 512\">\n                    <path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\">\n                    <\/path>\n                <\/svg>\n                <span>Read more.<\/span>\n            \n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"fxs-event-module-release\">\n            <p>\n                <strong>Next release:<\/strong>\n                <span>Wed May 27, 2026 01:30 <\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Frequency:<\/strong>\n                <span>Monthly<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Consensus:<\/strong>\n                <span>4.4%<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Previous:<\/strong>\n                <span>4.6%<\/span>\n            <\/p>\n            <p>\n                <strong>Source:<\/strong>\n                \n                    <span>Australian Bureau of Statistics<\/span>\n                    <svg width=\"13\" height=\"13\" viewbox=\"0 0 13 13\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\">\n                        <path d=\"M12.1484 0.5C12.3359 0.5 12.5 0.664062 12.5 0.851562L12.4766 4.67188C12.4766 4.85938 12.3359 5 12.1484 5H11.375V5.02344C11.1875 5.02344 11.0234 4.85938 11.0234 4.67188L11.0938 2.9375L11.0469 2.89062L4.50781 9.42969C4.46094 9.47656 4.39062 9.52344 4.32031 9.52344C4.22656 9.52344 4.15625 9.47656 4.10938 9.42969L3.57031 8.89062C3.52344 8.84375 3.47656 8.77344 3.47656 8.67969C3.47656 8.60938 3.52344 8.53906 3.57031 8.49219L10.1094 1.95312L10.0625 1.90625L8.32812 1.97656C8.14062 1.97656 8 1.8125 8 1.625V0.851562C8 0.664062 8.14062 0.523438 8.32812 0.523438L12.1484 0.5ZM10.625 7.25C10.8125 7.25 11 7.4375 11 7.625V11.375C11 12.0078 10.4844 12.5 9.875 12.5H1.625C0.992188 12.5 0.5 12.0078 0.5 11.375V3.125C0.5 2.51562 0.992188 2 1.625 2H5.375C5.5625 2 5.75 2.1875 5.75 2.375V2.75C5.75 2.96094 5.5625 3.125 5.375 3.125H1.76562C1.67188 3.125 1.625 3.19531 1.625 3.26562V11.2344C1.625 11.3281 1.67188 11.375 1.76562 11.375H9.73438C9.80469 11.375 9.875 11.3281 9.875 11.2344V7.625C9.875 7.4375 10.0391 7.25 10.25 7.25H10.625Z\" fill=\"#E4871B\"><\/path>\n                    <\/svg>\n                \n            <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><p><br><\/p>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/AUD-bullish-chart_Large.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 06:32 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">AUD\/JPY Price Forecast: Uptrend stalls near YTD high as RSI flattens<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a}<\/style>\n<style>.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>AUD\/JPY holds uptrend but stalls below 114.74 resistance.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>RSI flattens in bullish territory, signaling fading buyer momentum.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>Break below 114.00 exposes 113.63 and 112.77 supports.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>The Australian Dollar registers modest gains of 0.14% against the Japanese Yen as improved risk appetite increased demand for riskier currencies, eroding the Yen's safe-haven status. &nbsp;At the time of writing, the AUD\/JPY trades at 114.17, after reaching a daily low of 113.78.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">AUD\/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook<\/h2><p>Price action shows the uptrend remains intact, but fears of a possible intervention in the FX markets to prop up the Yen are capping the advance.<\/p><p>Going upwards, the AUD\/JPY's first key resistance area is the yearly peak at 114.74, which, once surpassed, opens the door to test 115.00. A breach of the latter will expose the 115.50 mark, followed by the psychological 116.00.<\/p><p>The Relative Strength Index (RSI), although bullish, has turned flat, an indication that buyers may be losing momentum. Hence, caution on the upside is warranted, as Japanese authorities might not hesitate to propel the Yen, an invitation for further downside on the cross-pair.<\/p><p>Downwards, the first support for AUD\/JPY would be 114.00. Below this level, the next area of interest would be the 20-day SMA at 113.63, before it dives to the 50-day SMA at 112.77.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">AUD\/JPY Price Chart \u2013 Daily<\/h2><figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/miscelaneous\/image-1779834720474.png\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"><figcaption>AUD\/JPY daily chart<\/figcaption><\/figure><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-currencyprices-AUD-773\" data-type=\"currencyprices\" data-module=\"currencyprices\" data-config-topic=\"AUD\" data-config-asset=\"AUD\" data-config-criteria=\"Strongest\" data-config-period=\"Today\" data-config-currencies=\"USD,EUR,GBP,JPY,CAD,AUD,NZD,CHF\" data-config-quotes=\"1.164415:1.163245,1.35027:1.34487,1.16:1.1562,0.006293:0.006278,0.005405:0.005397,0.00466:0.004669,0.724485:0.723955,0.6223:0.6224,0.5365:0.5384,115.131:115.3235,0.717275:0.716705,0.6162:0.616,0.53125:0.53292,114.009:114.1665,0.99035:0.98995,0.5872:0.583605,0.5044:0.5016,0.43485:0.4339,93.3:92.9645,0.8106:0.806105,0.81853:0.814315,1.277492:1.272995,1.097153:1.094385,0.945975:0.94655,203.04:202.775,1.763525:1.75836,1.780643:1.776516,2.17542:2.181165\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\" class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper\">\n    <h2 class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-title\">Australian Dollar Price Today<\/h2>\n    <p class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-content\">The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.<\/p>\n    <table class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table\" border=\"1\">\n        <thead>\n        <tr>\n            <th><\/th>\n                <th>USD<\/th>\n                <th>EUR<\/th>\n                <th>GBP<\/th>\n                <th>JPY<\/th>\n                <th>CAD<\/th>\n                <th>AUD<\/th>\n                <th>NZD<\/th>\n                <th>CHF<\/th>\n        <\/tr>\n        <\/thead>\n        <tbody>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>USD<\/th>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.10%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.40%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.24%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.07%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.08%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.62%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.35%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>EUR<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.10%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.33%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.15%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.02%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.03%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.56%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.25%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>GBP<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.40%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.33%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.19%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.35%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.31%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.22%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.06%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>JPY<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.24%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.15%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.19%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.17%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.14%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.36%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.13%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>CAD<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.07%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.02%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.35%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.17%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.04%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.56%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.29%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>AUD<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.08%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.03%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.31%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.14%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.04%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.52%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.23%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>NZD<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.62%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.56%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.22%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.36%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.56%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.52%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.26%<\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n            <tr class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price\">\n                <th>CHF<\/th>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.35%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.25%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.06%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.13%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.29%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-red\">-0.23%<\/td>\n                        <td class=\"light-green\">0.26%<\/td>\n                        <td><\/td>\n            <\/tr>\n        <\/tbody>\n    <\/table>\n    <p class=\"fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend\">The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)\/USD (quote).<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/AUD-neutral-animal_Large.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 06:10 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">Aussie Dollar's romp over the Kiwi meets a 13-year ceiling<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>The Aussie has surged 14% on the Kiwi since July, powered by two central banks moving in opposite directions.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>That rate gap is now at its widest, but both banks are converging again and draining the trend's fuel.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>Back-to-back Australian inflation and an RBNZ decision on Wednesday could be the inflection point.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>The Australian Dollar has spent the better part of a year bullying its trans-Tasman cousin, and the scoreboard is lopsided. AUD\/NZD has just tagged its highest level since around 2013, up roughly 14% from its July low, closing higher in eight of the last ten months and on pace to make it eleven. The engine behind that run is the rarest thing in currency markets, two neighbouring central banks marching in opposite directions at the same time. The trouble for anyone still chasing the Aussie higher here is that this is precisely the moment the engine starts to run out of fuel.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Two neighbours, two opposite playbooks<\/h2><p>The divergence has been stark. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) slashed its Official Cash Rate (OCR) from a 5.5% peak all the way to 2.25%, the most aggressive easing cycle in the developed world, as the New Zealand economy ground through a downturn. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) did the exact opposite, hiking three times this year to 4.35% as Australian growth held up and inflation refused to cool. The same Middle East Oil shock that is feeding price pressure on both sides of the Tasman landed on two economies sitting at opposite ends of the cycle, and the central banks responded in opposite directions. The result was a yield gap that blew out in the Aussie's favour and a trend that has only really known one way.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">The fuel gauge is dropping<\/h2><p>Here is the catch. A trend built on a widening rate gap struggles the moment that gap stops widening, and convergence is now creeping in from both ends. The RBNZ has stopped cutting entirely, holding three meetings in a row, and is openly flirting with hikes because its own inflation is breaching the top of its target band and heading toward 4%. The RBA, after three straight increases, has signalled it now has room to pause and assess. So the differential that has powered the Aussie for a year is set to plateau, and could begin narrowing if the Kiwi side starts hiking while the Aussie side sits still. The very mechanism that drove the move is quietly going into reverse.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Stretched at levels last seen 13 years ago<\/h2><p>The chart is flashing the same warning. On the monthly candlesticks, the Stochastic RSI is pinned in overbought territory near 80, and price is pressing into a region the pair has not visited in roughly 157 months. Closing green in eight of the last ten months is an extraordinarily persistent run, and persistence like that tends to mean-revert rather than extend indefinitely. The Aussie is currently leaning on the 1.2300 handle, a long way above its rising daily averages, with the 50-day sitting back near 1.2100 as the first real trend support. This is not a top call, but it is a mature trend meeting its first serious overhead resistance with momentum already stretched thin.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Wednesday is the inflection<\/h2><p>The timing could hardly be sharper. Wednesday delivers a back-to-back trans-Tasman collision, with Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 01:30 GMT followed just thirty minutes later by the RBNZ decision at 02:00 GMT and its press conference at 03:00 GMT. The bullish-Aussie case needs hot Australian inflation to keep the RBA hiking, paired with a dovish RBNZ. The reversal case needs the opposite, and consensus is leaning that way. Headline CPI is seen cooling to around 4.4% YoY from 4.6%, which would hand the RBA exactly the excuse it flagged to pause, while a hawkish RBNZ that upgrades its inflation track and signals hikes would attack the trade from the other side.<\/p><p>For now the bias stays higher while the pair holds above the 1.2250 area, with a clean monthly break of the 1.2300 handle opening a path toward the 1.2400 zone where the 2013 highs sit. The more interesting setup, though, is the fade. A soft inflation print and a hawkish RBNZ on Wednesday could cap the move, and a slip back below the 1.2200 handle would be the first real crack in the gap-driven trend, with the rising 50-day near 1.2100 marking the line that still defines the broader uptrend. The Aussie has had the Kiwi's number for nearly a year. Wednesday is when the market finds out whether the gap can keep doing all the heavy lifting.<\/p><hr class=\"fxs_divider_first\"><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">AUD\/NZD weekly chart<\/h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/miscelaneous\/image-1779833320300.png\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"><p><br><\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"aud\" data-config-category=\"Forex\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n    <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-wrapper\">\n        <h2 class=\"fxs-faq-module-title\">Australian Dollar FAQs<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-container\">\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion0\" checked=\"checked\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion0\">\n                            <span>What key factors drive the Australian Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment \u2013 whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) \u2013 is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD. <\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion1\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion1\">\n                            <span>How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia impact the Australian Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive. <\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion2\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion2\">\n                            <span>How does the health of the Chinese Economy impact the Australian Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">China is Australia\u2019s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs. <\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion3\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion3\">\n                            <span>How does the price of Iron Ore impact the Australian Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Iron Ore is Australia\u2019s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD. <\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion4\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-aud-144accordion4\">\n                            <span>How does the Trade Balance impact the Australian Dollar? <\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/indonesia-flag-02_Large.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 05:19 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">Indonesian Rupiah: Macro headwinds versus reversal risks against US Dollar \u2013 MUFG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <p>MUFG\u2019s Lloyd Chan highlights that macro headwinds continue to pressure the Indonesian Rupiah, with higher US yields, elevated Oil prices and narrowing rate differentials weighing on IDR against the Dollar. He notes rising macro pressures from a weaker current account, fiscal subsidy risks and softer growth, but also stresses that stretched positioning and cheap valuations leave USD\/IDR vulnerable to a catalyst-driven reversal.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Macro pressure but reversal risk building<\/h2><p>\"Macro headwinds remain dominant. Higher US yields (2-year yield above 4%), elevated oil prices, and narrowing interest rate differentials (at historically low levels) continue to pressure IDR against the dollar.\"<\/p><p>\"Macro pressures are increasing. Deteriorating current account (-1.1% of GDP in Q1), rising fiscal risks from energy subsidies, and softer underlying growth momentum are adding to rupiah vulnerability. Q1 growth has been driven by a strong increase in government consumption (+1.3pp to growth vs. +0.4pp in Q4 2025).\"<\/p><p>\"Inflation risks are skewed to the upside, driven by higher oil prices, a weaker rupiah, and a closing output gap, even as subsidies partially delay pass-through. We forecast headline inflation to average 3% in 2026 (1.9% in 2025) and GDP growth of 5.3% (5.1% in 2025).\"<\/p><p>\"BI tightening (50bps hike in May) and higher SRBI yields (12-month at 6.8%) provide some support for the rupiah. But concerns over government intervention in commodity exports are further weighing on investor confidence. Additional two 25bps BI rate hikes could be on the cards this year to defend the rupiah.\"<\/p><p>\"With positioning stretched and valuations cheap, the risk-reward may be shifting, making USD\/IDR increasingly vulnerable to a catalyst-driven reversal. The pair is now trading deep in overbought territory, while IDR appears to be quite cheap (near 2013 taper tantrum levels) on a real effective exchange rate basis. A potential US\u2013Iran de-escalation could be a key trigger for reversal.\"<\/p><p><em>(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)<\/em><\/p>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/gbp-usd-001_Large.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 05:09 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">Pound Sterling coils while the BoE and Fed freeze in lockstep<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>With both central banks frozen in near-identical hawkish-hold postures, the rate gap that usually drives Cable has flatlined.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>The result is a Pound coiling ever tighter inside its converging daily EMAs.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>The next real move is almost certainly US-made with the data calendar lopsided toward Thursday's inflation print.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>Cable looks dead this week, and that is not an accident. The Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) have quietly become the same central bank. Both are sitting on their hands, both are watching above-target inflation get shoved higher by the same Middle East oil shock, both have hawkish dissenters in the room, and both now face a market pricing the next move as a hike rather than a cut. When two policy paths line up this neatly, the interest rate differential that gives GBP\/USD its direction simply stops moving, and the pair is left to grind sideways while everyone waits for one side to blink.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Two banks, one problem<\/h2><p>It is rare to see the transatlantic policy picture this symmetrical. The BoE has held Bank Rate at 3.75% for three meetings running, with its most recent vote splitting 8 to 1 in favour of a hold and the lone dissenter pushing for a hike. UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is running at 3.3%, and the bank itself expects energy pass-through to nudge it higher still over the coming quarters. Now look across the Atlantic, and the script is almost word-for-word identical. The Fed is parked, its speakers have leaned hawkish into the week, and traders are pricing a genuine chance of a July hike that barely existed a month ago. The same surge in Oil that is testing the BoE is testing the Fed, and neither bank can do much beyond wait and see how the shock propagates. Two committees, one exogenous problem, and no appetite on either side to commit.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">A coil, not a trend<\/h2><p>This stalemate is written all over the chart. On the daily candlesticks, the 50 and 200-day EMAs have compressed into a tight band roughly between 1.3400 and 1.3450, with price pinned right on top of them and the broader 1.3200 to 1.3900 range that has contained the pair all year still fully intact. That kind of moving-average convergence is not noise, it is the technical fingerprint of a market with no reason to choose a direction. Momentum on the daily Stochastic RSI has rolled over toward the lower end of its range while price refuses to break, the classic signature of a coiled spring. The Pound spent Tuesday on the defensive, drifting toward the floor of its recent range before a modest late bounce, but at no point did it threaten to leave the box. This is compression, plain and simple, and compression eventually resolves with force.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">The break will be made in Washington, not London<\/h2><p>Here is the part that actually matters for positioning. The catalyst calendar is heavily lopsided toward the US. The UK has essentially nothing of substance on the docket until the next BoE decision in June, and while there is no shortage of central bank speakers this week on both sides, none of them can realistically pre-commit ahead of fresh data, so the parade of speeches is noise. The US, by contrast, delivers its Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) on Thursday at 12:30 GMT, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, before rolling into its monthly data cycle. Core PCE is seen ticking up to 3.3% YoY with the headline rate expected to accelerate toward 3.8%, and a hot number would feed the hike narrative and hand the US Dollar a fresh leg. That makes the resolution of this coil overwhelmingly a dollar story, not a Pound one. The Pound is a passenger here, the dollar holds the wheel.<\/p><p>For now, treat the pair as range-bound while it holds inside the EMA envelope. Fade pushes toward the 1.3500 cap and buy dips toward the 1.3400 floor where the 200-day sits, but keep the size honest, the real trade is the break. A daily close below 1.3400 opens the path toward 1.3300 and ultimately the 1.3200 range floor, while a close above 1.3500 targets the 1.3600s and, further out, the top of the range near 1.3850. The medium-term play is patience, let the coil snap, then ride the breakout in whichever direction Thursday's PCE and the US data that follows dictate. Bias inside the range is neutral with a mild downside lean given the dollar's hawkish tailwind. Two frozen central banks cannot hold the spring down forever.<\/p><hr class=\"fxs_divider_first\"><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">GBP\/USD daily chart<\/h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/miscelaneous\/image-1779829379402.png\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"><p><br><\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"gbp\" data-config-category=\"Forex\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n    <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-wrapper\">\n        <h2 class=\"fxs-faq-module-title\">Pound Sterling FAQs<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-container\">\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion0\" checked=\"checked\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion0\">\n                            <span>What is the Pound Sterling?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data.\nIts key trading pairs are GBP\/USD, also known as \u2018Cable\u2019, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP\/JPY, or the \u2018Dragon\u2019 as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR\/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion1\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion1\">\n                            <span>How do the decisions of the Bank of England impact on the Pound Sterling?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of \u201cprice stability\u201d \u2013 a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates.\nWhen inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.\nWhen inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion2\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion2\">\n                            <span>How does economic data influence the value of the Pound?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP.\nA strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion3\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-gbp-667accordion3\">\n                            <span>How does the Trade Balance impact the Pound?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period.\nIf a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__item js-news-item\">\n          <div class=\"latest-news__summary\">\n            <figure class=\"latest-news__thumb\">\n              <img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/images\/i\/nzd-usd-001_Large.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"180\">\n            <\/figure>\n            <div class=\"latest-news__title-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__date\">\n                <figure class=\"latest-news__date-icon\">\n                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/ico_clock.svg\" alt=\"\">\n                <\/figure>\n                <span>May 27, 04:37 HKT<\/span>\n              <\/div>\n              <div class=\"latest-news__title\">New Zealand Kiwi waits on an RBNZ boxed in by its own rate cuts<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t  <button class=\"latest-news__accordion-btn js-accordion\">\n\t\t\t\t<span>Read article<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<span>Close<\/span>\n\t\t\t  <\/button>\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"latest-news__content is-en js-news-content\">\n            <style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<style>.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}<\/style>\n<ul><li value=\"1\"><strong>The RBNZ is widely expected to hold rates at 2.25% on Wednesday, but the forward track is where the real action sits.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"2\"><strong>Inflation has pushed back to the top of the target band and is forecast to keep climbing, leaving the bank's old easing bias looking badly dated.<\/strong><\/li><li value=\"3\"><strong>Rate markets have quietly flipped to pricing the next move as a hike rather than a cut, setting up a hawkish-hold trap for the Kiwi.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>There is something almost comic about a central bank that spent a year insisting rates needed to come down, only to find itself staring at inflation heading the wrong way. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) slashed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) from a 5.5% peak all the way to 2.25% by late last year, the most aggressive easing cycle in the developed world. On Wednesday at 02:00 GMT, it is expected to leave that rate untouched for a third straight meeting and, in all likelihood, keep talking about looking through near-term price pressures. The trouble is that the tape, the data, and increasingly the bank's own forecasts no longer agree that those pressures are going anywhere.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">The easing that won't stop biting<\/h2><p>The uncomfortable truth for the RBNZ is that monetary policy works with a lag of roughly twelve to eighteen months, which means the deep cuts delivered through 2024 and 2025 are only now feeding through into activity and prices. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation hit 3.1% YoY in the final quarter of last year, breaching the 1% to 3% target band, and the bank's own projections have headline inflation pushing toward 4% in the middle of this year. That is not a rounding error; it is a central bank that eased into the teeth of an inflation problem and is now hoping the problem politely resolves itself. The Middle East has not helped. Surging Crude Oil prices tied to the US-Iran conflict have lit a fresh fire under imported inflation, and the governor has gone out of her way to keep hikes firmly on the table rather than rule them out.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">The market stopped believing the cut story<\/h2><p>For a sense of how far the narrative has turned, look at where the rate market now sits. Six months ago, the debate was about how much further the OCR would fall. Today, the swaps curve leans toward a hike before year-end, with bank economists steadily pulling their first-tightening calls forward into late 2026 and penciling in an endpoint back up around 3%. Wholesale rates beyond twelve months have already climbed on that repricing, and several lenders have nudged mortgage rates higher without waiting for the RBNZ to move. A hold on Wednesday is the base case, but a hold delivered alongside upgraded inflation forecasts and a reluctance to commit to any further easing is, in substance, a hawkish hold. That is the scenario the Kiwi is not fully braced for.<\/p><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">Why the forecasts matter more than the rate<\/h2><p>This is a full Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), not an interim review, which means fresh projections and a press conference at 03:00 GMT. The OCR track buried in those forecasts will move the Kiwi far more than the unchanged headline number. If the bank lifts its inflation profile and flags the prospect of decisive tightening should second-round effects take hold, that is rocket fuel for the currency. If instead it leans on the transitory script and signals patience, expect the Kiwi to fade the disappointment. Adding to the noise, the government's Budget lands Thursday, so traders will be reading the rate decision and the fiscal stance together rather than in isolation.<\/p><p>For now the Kiwi is trading near 0.5850 after grinding lower through the overnight session and stabilising just above 0.5830 on the intraday chart. On the daily, price has slipped below its clustered 50 and 200-day EMAs, which sit just overhead in the 0.5850 to 0.5900 band and have capped every rally this year. A genuinely hawkish statement opens a run at the 0.5900 handle, with 0.5950 the stretch target if the tightening rhetoric is explicit. A dovish or non-committal hold sends it back toward the 0.5800 handle, and a break there exposes 0.5750. The bias into the event is neutral with an upside skew, simply because the bank has more room to surprise hawkish than dovish from here. The wider question is how long the RBNZ can keep calling this inflation temporary before the curve forces its hand.<\/p><hr class=\"fxs_divider_first\"><h2 class=\"fxs_headline_from_medium_to_large\">NZD\/USD 15-minute chart<\/h2><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/editorial.fxsstatic.com\/miscelaneous\/image-1779827060436.png\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"><p><br><\/p><div class=\"post-module\"><div id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461\" data-type=\"faq\" data-module=\"faq\" data-config-topic=\"nzd\" data-config-category=\"Forex\" data-version=\"v1\" data-content-module-translate=\"0\">\n    <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-wrapper\">\n        <h2 class=\"fxs-faq-module-title\">New Zealand Dollar FAQs<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"fxs-faq-module-container\">\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion0\" checked=\"checked\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion0\">\n                            <span>What key factors drive the New Zealand Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), also known as the Kiwi, is a well-known traded currency among investors. Its value is broadly determined by the health of the New Zealand economy and the country\u2019s central bank policy. Still, there are some unique particularities that also can make NZD move. The performance of the Chinese economy tends to move the Kiwi because China is New Zealand\u2019s biggest trading partner. Bad news for the Chinese economy likely means less New Zealand exports to the country, hitting the economy and thus its currency. Another factor moving NZD is dairy prices as the dairy industry is New Zealand\u2019s main export. High dairy prices boost export income, contributing positively to the economy and thus to the NZD.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion1\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion1\">\n                            <span>How do decisions of the RBNZ impact the New Zealand Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aims to achieve and maintain an inflation rate between 1% and 3% over the medium term, with a focus to keep it near the 2% mid-point. To this end, the bank sets an appropriate level of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the RBNZ will increase interest rates to cool the economy, but the move will also make bond yields higher, increasing investors\u2019 appeal to invest in the country and thus boosting NZD. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken NZD. The so-called rate differential, or how rates in New Zealand are or are expected to be compared to the ones set by the US Federal Reserve, can also play a key role in moving the NZD\/USD pair.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion2\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion2\">\n                            <span>How does economic data influence the value of the New Zealand Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">Macroeconomic data releases in New Zealand are key to assess the state of the economy and can impact the New Zealand Dollar\u2019s (NZD) valuation. A strong economy, based on high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence is good for NZD. High economic growth attracts foreign investment and may encourage the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to increase interest rates, if this economic strength comes together with elevated inflation. Conversely, if economic data is weak, NZD is likely to depreciate.<\/p>\n                <\/section>\n                <input type=\"checkbox\" id=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion3\">\n                <section class=\"fxs-faq-module-section\">\n                    <h3 class=\"fxs-faq-module-header\">\n                        <label for=\"content-module-faq-Forex-nzd-461accordion3\">\n                            <span>How does broader risk sentiment impact the New Zealand Dollar?<\/span>\n                        <\/label>\n                    <\/h3>\n                    <p class=\"fxs-faq-module-content\">The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) tends to strengthen during risk-on periods, or when investors perceive that broader market risks are low and are optimistic about growth. This tends to lead to a more favorable outlook for commodities and so-called \u2018commodity currencies\u2019 such as the Kiwi. Conversely, NZD tends to weaken at times of market turbulence or economic uncertainty as investors tend to sell higher-risk assets and flee to the more-stable safe havens.  <\/p>\n                <\/section>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n  <div class=\"latest-news__pagination\">\n    <div><a class=\"latest-news__page active\" href=\"?nav=1\">1<\/a><\/div><div><a class=\"latest-news__page \" href=\"?nav=2\">2<\/a><\/div><div><a class=\"latest-news__page \" href=\"?nav=3\">3<\/a><\/div><div><a class=\"latest-news__page \" href=\"?nav=4\">4<\/a><\/div><div><a class=\"latest-news__page \" href=\"?nav=5\">5<\/a><\/div>  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<script>\n  let acc = document.getElementsByClassName(\"js-accordion\");\n  let i;\n\n  for (i = 0; i < acc.length; i++) {\n    acc[i].addEventListener(\"click\", function() {\n      this.classList.toggle(\"is-active\");\n\t  const parent = this.closest('.js-news-item')\n      const panel = parent.querySelector('.js-news-content')\n      parent.classList.toggle(\"is-active\");\n      if (panel.style.display === \"block\") {\n        panel.style.display = \"none\";\n      } else {\n        panel.style.display = \"block\";\n      }\n    });\n  }\n\t\n  function handleAccordionInContents() {\n\t  const dataAccordions = jQuery(\".latest-news__content.is-cn .fxs-content-module-header\")\n\t  dataAccordions.each(function() {\n\t\t  const $this = jQuery(this)\n\t\t  let isExpanded = $this.parent().attr('expanded')\n\t\t  if(typeof isExpanded !== 'undefined' && isExpanded !== false) {\n\t\t\t  $this.addClass('show')\n\t\t\t  $this.parent().addClass('show')\n\t\t  }\n\t  })\n\t  dataAccordions.on(\"click\", function(e) {\n\t\t  const $this = jQuery(this)\n\t\t  const content = $this.next()\n\t\t  if($this.hasClass('show')) {\n\t\t\t  content.slideUp(300, function() {\n\t\t\t\t  $this.removeClass('show')\n\t\t\t  \t  $this.parent().removeClass('show')\n\t\t\t  })\n\t\t  } else {\n\t\t\t  content.css(\"opacity\", 0)\n\t\t\t  \t.slideDown(300)\n\t\t\t  \t.animate(\n\t\t\t\t\t{ opacity: 1 },\n\t\t\t\t\t{ queue: false, duration: 300 }\n\t\t\t\t  );\n\t\t\t  $this.addClass('show')\n\t\t\t  $this.parent().addClass('show')\n\t\t\t  \n\t\t  }\n\t  })\n  }\n\t\n\t\n\tjQuery(document).ready(function() {\n\t\thandleAccordionInContents()\n\t})\n<\/script>\n\n<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e823cf5 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con\" data-id=\"e823cf5\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;jet_parallax_layout_list&quot;:[],&quot;content_width&quot;:&quot;boxed&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-741da53 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"741da53\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Forex Market News<\/h2>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-874732b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"874732b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.14.0 - 26-06-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p>Our dedicated focus on forex news and insights empowers you to capitalise on investment opportunities in the dynamic FX market. The forex landscape is ever-evolving, characterised by continuous exchange rate fluctuations shaped by vast influential factors. From economic data releases to geopolitical developments, these events can sway market sentiment and drive substantial movements in currency valuations.<\/p><p>At Rakuten Securities Hong Kong, we prioritise delivering timely and accurate forex news updates sourced from reputable platforms like FXStreet. This ensures you stay informed about crucial market developments, enabling informed decision-making and proactive strategy adjustments. Whether you&#8217;re monitoring forex forecasts, analysing trading perspectives, or seeking to capitalise on emerging trends, our comprehensive approach equips you with the insights needed to navigate the FX market effectively.<\/p><p>Stay ahead with our comprehensive forex news coverage, designed to keep you informed and prepared to seize profitable opportunities in the dynamic world of forex trading.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>HOME Forex News News source: FXStreet Forex Market News Our dedicated focus on forex news and insights empowers you to capitalise on investment opportunities in the dynamic FX market. The forex landscape is ever-evolving, characterised by continuous exchange rate fluctuations shaped by vast influential factors. From economic data releases to geopolitical developments, these events can [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":273,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_jet_sm_ready_style":"","_jet_sm_style":"","_jet_sm_controls_values":"","_jet_sm_fonts_collection":"","_jet_sm_fonts_links":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.11 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Forex News | FX Forecast - Rakuten Securities HK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sec.rakuten.com.hk\/en\/insight\/forex-news\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forex News | FX Forecast - Rakuten Securities HK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"HOME Forex News News source: FXStreet Forex Market News Our dedicated focus on forex news and insights empowers you to capitalise on investment opportunities in the dynamic FX market. 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